Browsing by Author "Ngugi, Rose"
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Item Foreign equity flows and stock market liquidity in Kenya(Taylor and Francis, 2020-06) Ochenge, Rogers; Ngugi, Rose; Muriu, PeterIn this paper, we explore the dynamic relationship between aggregate foreign equity inflows and aggregate liquidity of the Kenyan stock market using transactional foreign trading data and several liquidity measures. We employ vector autoregression with monthly gross foreign inflows, local stock market liquidity and returns over the period 2011–2018. We discover a one- way causality link from inflows to liquidity and that foreign investors promote rather than impede local liquidity. Our analysis therefore renders support to the recent policy by Capital Market Authority of Kenya that now allows foreign investors to acquire up to 100% of any stock listed at the Kenyan stock exchange market.Item Macroeconomic Conditions and Stock Market Liquidity in Kenya(Canadian Center of Science and Education, 2020-11) Ochenge, Rogers; Muriu, Peter; Ngugi, RoseThis paper explores the role of macroeconomic conditions on systematic stock market liquidity in Kenya. The study first estimates the monthly probability of liquidity switching from a high to a low liquidity state using the Markov regime switching framework. Then, using ordinary least squares, the study identifies macro factors that significantly drive liquidity fluctuations. Importantly, monetary policy changes, exchange rate fluctuations and global risk aversion are found to significantly explain the resilience of stock market liquidity. Understanding the specific macroeconomic variables that drive liquidity fluctuations helps investors to monitor their liquidity exposures further enabling them to make informed investment choices. This ultimately leads to efficient resource allocation. Additionally, the empirical findings of this study provide key information to financial market supervisors regarding which macro variables to watch in their surveillance duties.