Modeling Scramble for other tribes votes by the three main tribal voting blocs in Kenya Presidential elections

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dc.contributor.authorNgari, Cyrus G.
dc.date.accessioned2018-07-10T13:19:57Z
dc.date.available2018-07-10T13:19:57Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.description.abstractA deterministic model was formulated to describe the tribal based voting blocs in Kenya presidential politics using four compartmental classes: Kikuyu (K), Luo (L), AKalenjin (A) and other tribes (T). The first order nonlinear ordinary differential equations governing the dynamics were developed using Lokta-Voltera equations (Predator-Prey interspecific competition). Model analysis was carried out. The possibility of at most four tribal bloc equilibrium points was predicted using Descartes’s rule of sign. The stabilities of the equilibrium points were predicted using Routh-Hurwitz criteria, eigenvalues of Jacobi matrix and Lyapunov function. The estimated bound for valid votes in Kenya was obtained as 21212503 for the next five general elections and numerical simulations were carried .The result indicates that anti-tribalism civic education on new voters’ holds great promise to reverse the trend in future.en_US
dc.identifier.citationAsian Journal of Mathematics and Computer Research Vol.: 10, Issue.: 2 Page 151-164en_US
dc.identifier.issn2395-4213
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.ikpress.org/issue/702
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/1772
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.subjectDeterministicen_US
dc.subjectLokta-Volteraen_US
dc.subjectdescartes’sen_US
dc.subjectRouth-Hurwitzen_US
dc.subjectsimulationen_US
dc.titleModeling Scramble for other tribes votes by the three main tribal voting blocs in Kenya Presidential electionsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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